This year’s votes in the Kellogg/NU poll:
Last year’s Kellogg/NU poll predicted the winner of the 2010 prize, if you decoded its message carefully. It seemed there was “inside information”. I am having a harder time this year. There are a large number of I.O. economists at Kellogg/NU. But, even given that, Tirole garners a huge number of votes..is this reflecting inside information or bias? Another dramatic change is the increase in votes for econometricians – Hausman, White, Hansen and Manski. This seem the closest to inside information so maybe this predicts an econometrics prize. My personal favorite is Robert Wilson. I have always loved his research and leadership. I also played Diplomacy at his home when I attended SITE once during grad school. This makes him my intellectual and sentimental choice. A prize for him perhaps joint with Kreps, Holmstrom and/or Milgrom would be great. If that does not work out, if Bob Weber and I split the prize, that would be fine with me.
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October 7, 2011 at 1:40 pm
amir
Jeff voted for Sandeep
October 7, 2011 at 1:49 pm
Sandeep Baliga
That’s my guess too
October 10, 2011 at 6:24 am
Anonymous
Way off the mark this year.
October 10, 2011 at 10:25 am
Donald A. Coffin
No one voted for either winner? (Not that I’m really all that surprised; I wouldn’t have, either. I keep picking Tirole.)
October 10, 2011 at 5:18 pm
Anonymous
Tirole will get it but he is young enough to wait a bit.
I’m delighted about this year’s prize.
Next year it may need to be econometricians, unless Sims counts.
What about Shapley and Roth for the year after that?
October 10, 2011 at 8:45 pm
Elena
Shapley definitely should get it!!