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From Paul Kedrosky, via Mallesh Pai:
In the game of Scrabble, letter tiles are drawn uniformly at random from a bag. The variability of possible draws as the game progresses is a source of variation that makes it more likely for an inferior player to win a head-to-head match against a superior player, and more difficult to determine the true ability of a player in a tournament or contest. I propose a new format for drawing tiles in a two-player game that allows for the same tile pattern though not the same board to be replicated over multiple matches, so that a players result can be better compared against others, yet is indistinguishable from the bag-based draw within a game. A large number of simulations conducted with Scrabble software shows that the variance from the tile order in this scheme accounts for as much variance as the different patterns of letters on the board as the game progresses. I use these simulations as well as the experimental design to show how much various tiles are able to affect player scores depending on their placement in the tile seeding.
Alternatively you could just let the market prices tell you.
The right to remain silent is not necessarily a blessing to a defendant. Because having a choice is not necessarily a good thing. Unless the decision to testify is uncorrelated with guilt, that decision by itself will convey information to the jury. (I know juries are instructed not to infer anything. But that is impossible.) So for example, if those who take the fifth are more likely to be guility (as I would guess. Are there data on this?), then an innocent person’s “right” to remain silent is actually a right to partially incriminate himself
A prohibition against defendants testifying on their own behalf is worth considering. If the goal is to protect defendants from incriminating themselves, then the above benefit offsets the obvious cost.
And if that is too extreme there are middle grounds to consider. For example, since the defense puts on its case last, the defendant does not make his decision until after the prosecution has introduced evidence. A defendant might want to commit in advance of that evidence being revealed that he will not testify so that nothing can be revealed by his decision being contingent on the evidence. As far as I know this commitment is not possible under current law.
In general the earlier you commit not to testify the less can be inferred from this. So we should allow citizens to register their commitments before they are charged with any crime. When you register to vote you also check a box that says whether you or not you will testify in the event you are ever charged with a crime.
Cheap Talk 