- A winner is declared in the contest to smuggle the phrase “I smoke crack rocks” into a published article.
- Surprisingly accurate account coupled with stunningly confused extrapolation of the Ellsberg ambiguity experiment.
- Julian Assange’s OKCupid profile.
- Salvia market boom after circulation of Miley Cyrus bong video.
- Where are you in the income distribution?
- FBI informant infiltrates Irvine, CA mosque. Muslims are so alarmed at his violent provocations they get a restraining order against him.
Cheap Talk
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December 18, 2010 at 5:09 pm
Evan
Is that the formulation of the Ellsberg paradox? I have not seen it presented that way before, and it seems a little weak. Given that an estimate of 30 balls of each colour implies indifference in each of the choices, an extremely preference for certainty could very well translate into very skewed results.
My understanding is that the paradox holds up even when the possibility of indifference is removed, and it would help the result seem stronger if it was presented in that manner.
December 18, 2010 at 5:10 pm
Evan
Sorry, should have started: is that the *original* formulation?