
Female digger wasps prey on katydids. But they don’t kill them. They paralyze them and then store them in little holes they dig in the ground. They are preparing nests where they will lay eggs and when the eggs hatch, the larvae will feast on the katydids.
Richard Dawkins and John Brockman observed that it sometimes happens that two digger wasps are unknowingly tending the same nest. Naturally, once they figure this out, there’s going to be a fight. Dawkins and Brockman noticed two things about these fights. First, the wasp that wins is usually the one that has contributed more katydids to the common nest. Second, the duration of the fight is predicted by the number of katydids contributed by the eventual loser.
For Dawkins and Brockman the wasps are revealing a sunk-cost fallacy. Evidently, their willingness to fight is not determined by the total reward, but instead by the individual wasp’s past investment. The more they invested, the more they are willing to fight.
A more nuanced interpretation is that the wasps’ behavior is not a fallacy at all, but a clever hack. The wasps really do care about the total value of the nest, but their best estimate of that value is (proportional to) their own contribution to it. For example, a wasps may be able to “remember” the number of katydids she paralyzed (and she must if she is able to condition her fighting intensity on that number) but not be able to count the number of katydids in the nest. The former is going to be correlated with the latter.
Sunk cost bias: a handy trick.

5 comments
Comments feed for this article
March 30, 2010 at 5:35 am
Ryan
I knew right where you were going with this one. Great feeling to have figured one out on my own. Maybe reading your blog is helping. Or maybe this one was a softball.
March 30, 2010 at 7:47 am
PLW
Maybe # of Catydids is a rough measure of the individual wasp’s strength/vigor. Then the wasp with the most Catydids is usually stronger and so wins the fight, but the fight is closer to even, and therefore longer, when the lower number is closer to the higher.
March 30, 2010 at 10:25 am
jeff
that’s a good point
March 30, 2010 at 6:34 pm
rd
also, the longer the other girl fights, the more she must have contributed, increasing expected value. ie expected value is increasing in the length of the fight
March 30, 2010 at 7:01 pm
jeff
yes, common values