I hate checking in bags at the start of a flight and waiting for them at the other end.  So, I always travel with a carry-on bag.  If there is no space left, there is a chance that you have to gate-check your bag.   But I can only recall once instance where that has happened.  It’s likely to be a more frequent event as I discovered on Sunday.  Why?

United is now charging for checking in bags but carry-ons are still free.   This increases the incentive to bring a carry-on where you might have checked-in a bag before.  Moreover, if you are forced to gate-check your bag, you do not get charged.  So, there is an additional incentive to carry-on a bag.  So the optimal strategy will imply more passengers moving to “carry-on” from “check-in bag”.  The two forces together meant that all the carry-on storage space was full by the time many people boarded my flight on Sunday and they were forced to gate-check their carry-ons.

This could end up being annoying for United if there is lots of gate-checking going on, delaying flights and  distracting flight attendants.  What should they do?  Four options:

(a) Stop charging for checked in bags.  Not an option United will choose as they need cash

(b) Start charging for gate checking carry-ons.  This gives United the incentive to claim there is no room for carry-ons even when there is.  Even if they are honest, no-one will belive it.  This will to  United broke my Carry-on as a follow up to United Breaks Guitars.  Not a good option for United.

(c)  Start charging for carry-ons.  Seems like the most attractive option for United.  Except no competitor is doing it.  United has become more extreme than American with check-in bags: AA does not charge for the first checked bag.  Is United going to be the first airline to take the next step and charge for carry-ons or..

(d) Stick with the status quo.