With zero government spending, billions of dollars of stimulus could be created by an act of congress
…if Congressional Democrats succeed in lifting export controls that classify satellite technology as weapons and have handicapped American manufacturers since the last days of the Clinton administration. House hearings on the controls are to begin Thursday. Proponents of change are optimistic, pointing to a campaign pledge by President Obama and the support of respected figures like Brent Scowcroft, national security adviser to Presidents Gerald R. Ford and George Bush.
See the article here. Of course there are many illegal markets that would generate stimulus were they to be legalized. Here are some of the big ones.
- Drugs
- Guns
- Prostitution (except in Nevada)
- Gay prostitution (even in Nevada)
- Gambling
- Trade with Cuba
- Liberalized immigration
Al Roth calls these repugnant transactions and discusses them frequently on his blog. The demand for stimulus means that the cost of being morally opposed to these transactions increases and the margin between what is repugnant and what is not slides outward. (Tyler Cowen worries half-seriously that economists are evil when they try to persuade others to think in these terms.)
Food for thought here is how these are ordered on the repugnance margin. If the motive is stimulus then what matters is not just how repugnant they are but how repugnant in proportion to the untapped economic activity that would be unleashed. My guess is by that measure the ranking is (from first to be embraced to last) 6>2>5>3>7>1>4.
I suspect that repugnance has a ratchet effect in that if, say, prostitution is embraced for pragmatic reasons such as stimulus, it will never return to repugnancy even when those pragmatic motives fade away.

17 comments
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April 3, 2009 at 11:33 am
JoshK
I just can’t imagine trade with Cuba being significant compared to any of the others on the list.
April 3, 2009 at 9:35 pm
Douglas Knight
ratchet: prostitution used to be legal in the US, till around 1880.
for drugs, I see the repeal of prohibition as the exception and increasing bans the rule.
More ominously, reduced spheres of repugnance seem to have increased the repugnance of the remaining items.
April 4, 2009 at 12:40 am
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April 4, 2009 at 6:24 am
TJIC
I’d like to see all of the markets you talk about legalized.
Which is not to say that I don’t have moral qualms about one or two of them, but my moral qualms should not interfere with the rights of others to engage in peaceful trade.
Btw, is the banner image up from from some Gaudi work? Maybe La Sagrada Familia?
April 4, 2009 at 4:29 pm
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April 5, 2009 at 3:42 pm
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April 7, 2009 at 10:57 am
Eric Rasmusen
You’ve forgotten some even bigger repugnant markets that would stimulate the economy: burglary, extortion, and murder. In each case, people are currently employed illegally in the activity, though defense against them is mostly legal (“mostly” because pre-emptive violence is illegal). Making them legal would cause many more people to be employed in these activities, and woudl also raise employment by increasing the demand for preventive services.
June 22, 2009 at 9:47 am
Billig a kasse
Great post man, keep up the good work 😉
August 2, 2009 at 7:41 am
taletid
i get you point:)
August 3, 2009 at 1:13 pm
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August 8, 2009 at 1:07 pm
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Really nice post. I get your point:)
August 9, 2009 at 11:25 am
billig mobil
I’m can’t agree with all of it, but for det most parts i think it’s a really god post..
April 12, 2010 at 4:15 pm
Scott
I think the big distinction that needs to be made here is with regards to the effectiveness of currect prohibitions. Clearly lifting bans on satellite exportation or trade with Cuba would stimulate economic activity. For drugs and prostitution, however, I don’t see a huge increase in economic activity above and beyond what is already taking place, especially since the likely tax wedge would be pretty large.