Its a tempting hypothesis. And its entertaining to look at the wives of your relatives/close friends and theorize which attribute of their mothers they replicate (likewise for husbands/fathers.) But this seems like a difficult hypothesis to carefully test. Here is one attempt. Assemble a dataset of bi-racial families. We want the race of the father and mother, the sex of the child, and the race of the child’s spouse. To control for the racial proportions in the population, we compare the probability that a bi-racial male with a white mother marries a white wife to the probabiltity that a bi-racial male with a black mother marries a white wife. The hypothesis is that the first is larger than the second.
Now, marriage is a two-sided matching market. This means that we cannot jump to conclusions about the husband’s tastes on the basis of the characteristics of the wife. It could be that this husband would prefer a black wife (other attributes equal) but the best match he could find was with a white wife.
For example, an alternative story which would explain the above statistic is that black spouses are generally preferred but having a white father makes you a more attractive match and so bi-racial children with white fathers are more likely to match with their preferred race. (Any theory would have to explain why there was a difference in the ultimate match between those with white fathers and those with black fathers.) But the data would enable us to potentially rule this out. If this alternative story were true then bi-racial daughters with white fathers would also be more likely to marry black husbands than those with black fathers. That is, girls marrying their mothers rather than their fathers, the opposite of what the original hypothesis would predict.
So if the data showed that boys marry their mothers and girls marry their fathers, we could rule out this particular alternative story. Of course there will always be some identification problem somewhere, and here the following story would be observationally equivalent: having a white father makes you a more attractive mate, women like white men, men like black women. (Allowing men and women to have different racial preferences adds the extra degree of freedom to explain the [hypothetical] data.)
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March 24, 2009 at 8:30 am
Jeffrey
Isn’t the hypothesis more about personality than race?
March 24, 2009 at 9:00 am
jeff
No doubt we marry for many reasons including personality and race and lots of others. But while personality is hard to measure, race is easy.
March 24, 2009 at 9:51 am
Vinnie
Though complex, I would ultimately expect the best way to test the hypothesis is by facial characteristics, particularly those that we find correlate most strongly to dominant personality traits. It seems that there’s been a lot more quality research on this subject in recent years as people realize that being superficial isn’t superficial at all.
Obviously, the scope and sample size for such a study would need to be much smaller than the simple black / white (literally) analysis, but you would also then be dealing with characteristics of higher quality than mere skin tone.
March 25, 2009 at 8:15 am
PLW
“But while personality is hard to measure, race is easy.”
Ha!
March 25, 2009 at 9:13 am
jeff
lets say “easier”
May 21, 2009 at 9:15 pm
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October 28, 2009 at 7:45 am
Jamie London
I believe there is no doubt that romantic attraction is tied to the qualities of someone’s primary caregiver as a child – their “mother.” (What if their mother was absent? Who are they marrying then?)
The work of Harville Hendrix here is really interesting. He believes we seek out the “imago” of the person (actually an amalgum of all the people) who raised us. And that what we are looking for is someone to provide those things our REAL caregivers could not. In other words, whatever wounds we were left with from childhood, we are seeking to be healed by our mate.
Unfortunately, that mate is uniquely UNqualified to heal us, since they have the same lacking our caregivers did.
The result? 50%+ divorce rate and how many of those remaining are happy?
The answer is awareness and mutual support – a “conscious relationship” in Hendrix’s terms.
Good stuff here. Great writing! Thanks!!!