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	<title>Cheap Talk</title>
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	<description>A blog about economics, politics and the random interests of forty-something professors</description>
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		<title>Cheap Talk</title>
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		<item>
		<title>Dani Rodrik To Move To The Institute For Advanced Study</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/06/07/dani-rodrik-to-move-to-the-institute-for-advanced-study/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/06/07/dani-rodrik-to-move-to-the-institute-for-advanced-study/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Jun 2013 03:31:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sandeep Baliga</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gossip]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13273</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From his webpage: Dani Rodrik will be the Albert O. Hirschman Professor of Social Science at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton as of July 1, 2013. Before then, he was the Rafiq Hariri Professor of International Political Economy at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. He has published widely in [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13273&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/drodrik/">From his webpage:</a></p>
<blockquote><p>Dani Rodrik will be the Albert O. Hirschman Professor of Social Science at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton as of July 1, 2013. Before then, he was the Rafiq Hariri Professor of International Political Economy at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. He has published widely in the areas of international economics, economic development, and political economy. His research focuses on what constitutes good economic policy and why some governments are better than others in adopting it.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.ias.edu/">Didn&#8217;t see anything on the IAS webpage announcing it as yet.</a></p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">sandeep</media:title>
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		<title>Krugman Receives Another High Honor</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/06/03/krugman-receives-another-high-honor/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/06/03/krugman-receives-another-high-honor/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Jun 2013 12:02:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sandeep Baliga</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13270</guid>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://cheeptalk.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/186605-strip.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13271" alt="186605.strip" src="http://cheeptalk.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/186605-strip.gif?w=490&#038;h=152" width="490" height="152" /></a></p>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">sandeep</media:title>
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		<title>Sergei Guriev Leaves The New Economic School</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/29/sergei-guriev-leaves-the-new-economic-school/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/29/sergei-guriev-leaves-the-new-economic-school/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 May 2013 18:44:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sandeep Baliga</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13266</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hot off the presses at NYT: A prominent and well-connected economist who has openly supported opposition figures has resigned from several posts and abruptly left Russia under mounting pressure from investigators, officials of the university he leads said on Wednesday. The economist, Sergei Guriev, has been questioned repeatedly in a case that stems from a [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13266&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/30/world/europe/economist-sergei-guriev-leaves-russia-abruptly.html?hp&amp;_r=0">Hot off the presses at NYT:</a></p>
<blockquote>
<p>A prominent and well-connected economist who has openly supported opposition figures has resigned from several posts and abruptly left Russia under mounting pressure from investigators, officials of the university he leads said on Wednesday.</p>
<div></div>
</blockquote>
<div>
<blockquote>
<p>The economist, Sergei Guriev, has been questioned repeatedly in a case that stems from a report that he co-wrote that harshly criticized the treatment of Mikhail B. Khodorkovsky, the imprisoned oil tycoon and one-time political rival to President Vladimir V. Putin.</p>
<p>A centrist figure who is at home among Russia’s power brokers, Mr. Guriev drew attention a year ago for publicly declaring his support for the anti-corruption blogger Aleksei Navalny.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;ve read Guriev&#8217;s papers in the past but his name seemed particularly familiar. <a href="http://www.econ.northwestern.edu/seminars/nemmers-conference.html">I realized the Mikhail Golosov has presented a joint paper with Guriev and others at the Nemmers Conference just last week</a>. Some people think Stalin&#8217;s policies were necessary to push labor from the countryside to industry and hence the hardship they caused, while cruel, had some long term positive economic impact. Chermukin, Golosov, Guriev and Tysvinki argue, using data they collected and a two sector growth model, that Stalin&#8217;s policies reduced welfare significantly in the long run.</p>
<p>This guy is hardly a radical.</p>
</div>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">sandeep</media:title>
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		<title>Auctions For Upgrades</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/22/auctions-for-upgrades/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/22/auctions-for-upgrades/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 13:02:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sandeep Baliga</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[teaching]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13261</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Via the FT: Airlines that offer this either send travellers an email inviting them to upgrade or travellers can go direct to the airline’s website.Once you’re on their site, rather than them saying, ‘you can pay £400 to upgrade’, you can now say, ‘I’ll pay £300’,” explains Ken Harris chief executive of Plusgrade, the technology [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13261&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b068cc6c-bbe0-11e2-82df-00144feab7de.html">Via the FT:</a></p>
<blockquote><p>Airlines that offer this either send travellers an email inviting them to upgrade or travellers can go direct to the airline’s website.<span style="font-size:13px;">Once you’re on their site, rather than them saying, ‘you can pay £400 to upgrade’, you can now say, ‘I’ll pay £300’,” explains Ken Harris chief executive of Plusgrade, the technology company behind the platform. “There may be a minimum upgrade price and there will be an indicator which shows the strength of your offer.” </span>The airline will then email you at least 72 hours before your flight to tell you if your bid has been successful; if not, you retain your original reservation.</p></blockquote>
<p>Taking things to another comfort level:</p>
<blockquote><p>Along with upgrades, you can also pay a nominal fee to ensure the seat next to you is not occupied.</p></blockquote>
<p>To extract surplus and reduce information rents from high types, &#8220;low&#8221; types must be punished with inefficient allocations. Expect to be seated en masse if you do not purchase an upgrade even if the plane is half empty.</p>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">sandeep</media:title>
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		<title>I Am Not Related To Richard T. Ely</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/09/i-am-not-related-to-richard-t-ely/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/09/i-am-not-related-to-richard-t-ely/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 14:34:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jeff</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[friends]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13258</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As far as I know.  Anyway I always assumed that the Ely Lecture at the AEA meetings was named after me. But changing the subject, Adriana Lleras-Muney writes to me: From Henry Miller “To be intelligent may be a boon, but to be completely trusting, gullible to the point of idiocy, to surrender without reservation [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13258&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As far as I know.  Anyway I always assumed that the Ely Lecture at the AEA meetings was named after me.</p>
<p>But changing the subject, Adriana Lleras-Muney writes to me:</p>
<blockquote><p>From Henry Miller</p>
<p>“To be intelligent may be a boon, but to be completely trusting, gullible to the point of idiocy, to surrender without reservation is of of the supreme joys of life”</p>
<p>Agree?</p></blockquote>
<p>I think Henry Miller is confusing correlation with causation.  Its probably true that in our happiest moments (among those moments we are with other people&#8211;I might even dispute that those moments are the happiest unconditionally) we are trusting, gullible and idiotically surrendering.  But that&#8217;s likely because we are with a certain person and in a certain blissful state that we respond by surrendering.  Its the person and the state that brings us the supreme joy and our surrender is just a symptom of that joy.  I might go far as to say that the surrender is a complementary good but its enough to think about surrendering to the very next person who knocks on your office door to convince you that the surrender is not itself the source of joy.</p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">jeff</media:title>
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		<title>Consider The Equilibrium: Bulls Vs. Heat</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/07/consider-the-equilibrium-bulls-vs-heat/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/07/consider-the-equilibrium-bulls-vs-heat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 May 2013 18:02:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sandeep Baliga</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[art of office politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13255</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Via ESPN: &#8220;Thibs is a guru,&#8221; Gibson said. &#8220;He understands the game plan. &#8220;He had me guarding Ray Allen. That&#8217;s how much confidence he has in everybody&#8217;s ability to guard on defense. He really drew up and knew what the team was gonna do. Every time they ran down and ran offense, it was exactly [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13255&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://espn.go.com/nba/playoffs/2013/story/_/id/9249677/nba-playoffs-2013-chicago-bulls-amazing-run-goes-game-1-miami-heat">Via ESPN:</a></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:13px;">&#8220;Thibs is a guru,&#8221; Gibson said. &#8220;He understands the game plan.</span><br />
&#8220;He had me guarding Ray Allen. That&#8217;s how much confidence he has in everybody&#8217;s ability to guard on defense. He really drew up and knew what the team was gonna do.<br />
Every time they ran down and ran offense, it was exactly what Thibs showed us on paper.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">sandeep</media:title>
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		<title>Blogging Something I Know Nothing About</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/06/blogging-something-i-know-nothing-about-8/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/06/blogging-something-i-know-nothing-about-8/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 May 2013 04:50:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jeff</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[music]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13251</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Would it be possible to make a statistical model of a jazz solo and use it to create new ones?  Take a standard, and let&#8217;s focus on the saxaphone, say.  Go to the solo and estimate a Markov transition kernel which tells you the probability distribution over the next tone conditional on the previous tone. [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13251&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Would it be possible to make a statistical model of a jazz solo and use it to create new ones?  Take a standard, and let&#8217;s focus on the saxaphone, say.  Go to the solo and estimate a Markov transition kernel which tells you the probability distribution over the next tone conditional on the previous tone.  In particular you want the joint probability distribution over the following note (or just the interval) and the note&#8217;s value (eighth, quarter, etc.)  Feed it tons and tons of recordings of sax solos for the same tune (that&#8217;s why you want a standard.)</p>
<p>Once you have estimated your kernel, simulate it.  Will it be music?  How much of an improvement do you get if the state variable is the last two notes instead of just one?  If your state variable is the last n notes, at what n are improvements no longer noticeable?</p>
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		<slash:comments>13</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">jeff</media:title>
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		<title>Consider The Equilibrium</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/05/consider-the-equilibrium-22/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/05/05/consider-the-equilibrium-22/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 May 2013 04:40:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jeff</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[game theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[incentives]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13249</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In my kids&#8217; tennis class they are getting good enough to have actual rallies.  The coach feeds them a ball and has them play out points.  Each rally is worth 1 point and they play to 10.  To stop them from trying to hit winners on the first shot and in attempt to get them [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13249&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my kids&#8217; tennis class they are getting good enough to have actual rallies.  The coach feeds them a ball and has them play out points.  Each rally is worth 1 point and they play to 10.  To stop them from trying to hit winners on the first shot and in attempt to get them to play longer rallies, the coaches tried out an interesting rule.  &#8221;The ball must cross the net four times before the point begins.  If your shot goes out before that, its 2 points for the other side.&#8221;</p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">jeff</media:title>
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		<title>Memory And Mental Accounting</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/04/30/memory-and-mental-accounting/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/04/30/memory-and-mental-accounting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2013 04:22:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jeff</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[One form of mental accounting is where you give yourself separate budgets for things like food, entertainment, gas, etc.  It&#8217;s suboptimal because these separate budgets make you less flexible in your consumption plans.  For example in a month where there are many attractive entertainment offerings, you are unable to reallocate spending away from other goods [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13247&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One form of mental accounting is where you give yourself separate budgets for things like food, entertainment, gas, etc.  It&#8217;s suboptimal because these separate budgets make you less flexible in your consumption plans.  For example in a month where there are many attractive entertainment offerings, you are unable to reallocate spending away from other goods in favor of entertainment.</p>
<p>But it could be understood as a second-best solution when you have memory limitations.  Suppose that when you decide how much to spend on groceries, you often forget or even fail to think of how much you have been spending on gas this month.  If so, then its not really possible to be as flexible as you would be in the first-best because there&#8217;s no way to reduce your grocery expenditures in tandem with the increased spending on gas.</p>
<p>That means that you should not increase your spending on gas.  In other words you should stick to a fixed gas budget.</p>
<p>Now memory is associative, i.e. current experiences stimulate memories of related experiences.  This can give some structure to the theory.  It makes sense to have a budget for entertainment overall rather than separate budgets for movies and concerts because when you are thinking of one you are likely to recall your spending on the other.  So the boundaries of budget categories should be determined by an optimal grouping of expenditures based on how closely associated they are in memory.</p>
<p>(Discussion with Asher Wolinsky and Simone Galperti)</p>
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			<media:title type="html">jeff</media:title>
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		<title>Efficient Markets Hypothesis Disproved: Arbitrage Opportunity In Frozen Indian Food</title>
		<link>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/04/30/efficient-markets-hypothesis-disproved-arbitrage-opportunity-in-frozen-indian-food/</link>
		<comments>http://cheaptalk.org/2013/04/30/efficient-markets-hypothesis-disproved-arbitrage-opportunity-in-frozen-indian-food/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Apr 2013 16:48:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sandeep Baliga</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[teaching]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cheaptalk.org/?p=13234</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I enjoy my Mother&#8217;s cooking all too rarely. This is good for my waist line but bad for my taste buds. I have resorted to consumption of frozen Indian food as a poor substitute. I was surprised to find that Whole Foods carries a reasonable brand, Tandoor Chef, that has some decent options. Of course, [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=cheaptalk.org&#038;blog=6423473&#038;post=13234&#038;subd=cheeptalk&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I enjoy my Mother&#8217;s cooking all too rarely. This is good for my waist line but bad for my taste buds. I have resorted to consumption of frozen Indian food as a poor substitute. I was surprised to find that Whole Foods carries a reasonable brand, Tandoor Chef, that has some decent options. Of course, these products come with a Whole Foods price tag.</p>
<p>On a recent trip to Devon Av., I happened to notice that the Fresh Farms supermarket carried these same products. Unfortunately, the prices are benchmarked against Whole Foods &#8211; no good deal there. But the supermarket also carries much cheaper products by Healthy Tiffin and they bear a remarkable resemblance to the Tandoor Chef products, e.g. both have Paneer Tikka Masala cooked in a relatively healthy way (if that is possible!). On closer inspection, Healthy Tiffin and Tandoor Chef are both made by Deep Products. I have been enjoying the arbitrage opportunity for a few months now. I worry that Deep Foods will reduce the quality of the Healthy Tiffin products to prevent arbitrage!</p>
<p><a href="http://cheeptalk.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/images.jpeg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-13240" alt="images" src="http://cheeptalk.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/images.jpeg?w=490"   /></a><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-13241" alt="logo-healthy" src="http://cheeptalk.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/logo-healthy.png?w=490"   /></p>
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			<media:title type="html">sandeep</media:title>
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