In a meeting a guy’s phone goes off because he just received a text and he forgot to silence it.   What kind of guy is he?

  1. He’s the type who is a slave to his smartphone, constantly texting and receiving texts.  Statistically this must be true because conditional on someone receiving a text it is most likely the guy whose arrival rate of texts is the highest.
  2. He’s the type who rarely uses his phone for texting and this is the first text he has received in weeks.  Statistically this must be true because conditional on someone forgetting to silence his phone it is most likely the guy whose arrival rate of texts is the lowest.
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